Human intelligence (HUMINT) has long been an informational cornerstone of the U.S. Intelligence Community (IC), providing crucial insights into the intentions and actions of foreign adversaries. Yet, as highlighted in a recent Washington Post article, the CIA’s ability to recruit and leverage human sources abroad may be facing significant challenges. This reported decline in HUMINT… Continue reading Mitigating Emerging Human Intelligence Challenges with Forecasting
Category: intelligence
We’ll Be Arguing for Years Whether Large Language Models Can Make New Scientific Discoveries
When OpenAI released its newest AI models o3 and o4-mini in April, its president Greg Brockman made an intriguing claim: “These are the first models where top scientists tell us they produce legitimately good and useful novel ideas.” If AI can indeed make scientific discoveries, that would not only have practical impacts for society but… Continue reading We’ll Be Arguing for Years Whether Large Language Models Can Make New Scientific Discoveries
The G7 Summit Missed an Opportunity for Progress on Global AI Governance
As G7 leaders convened in Alberta, Canada last week, the agenda encompassed pressing geopolitical developments in the Middle East, Ukraine, trade, and energy security. But mostly absent from discussions was the topic of governance for leading artificial intelligence models and systems, a notable omission given that the G7 previously pioneered the voluntary guidelines leading AI… Continue reading The G7 Summit Missed an Opportunity for Progress on Global AI Governance
A New IEA Report and the Iberian Blackout End Dreams of an ‘Energy Transition’
It’s no secret that the Republican’s “Big Beautiful Bill” plans to axe large swaths of mandates and billions of dollars in subsidies directed at achieving a so-called “energy transition.” If that budget axe falls, it will be the proverbial third strike that puts to rest the idea that the U.S., never mind the world, will… Continue reading A New IEA Report and the Iberian Blackout End Dreams of an ‘Energy Transition’
Embracing Human Intelligence in the Digital Age
In an era defined by constant disruption and the complexities of a “permacrisis,” organizations are grappling with a fundamental challenge: how best to integrate artificial intelligence (AI) in ways that enhance efficiency without diminishing the uniquely human attributes that fuel innovation and organizational performance. AI’s central role in operational strategies necessitates a deliberate approach that… Continue reading Embracing Human Intelligence in the Digital Age
The COVID-Era Smearing – and Resurrection – of Trump NIH Appointee Dr. Jay Bhattacharya
Above, “fringe epidemiologists” behind the Great Barrington Declaration: Martin Kulldorff, Sunetra Gupta, and Jay Bhattacharya. The latter is now poised to run the National Institutes of Health, which sought to stifle him during the COVID pandemic. By Paul D. Thacker, RealClearInvestigationsMarch 4, 2025 Jay Bhattacharya was in pretty terrible shape five years ago. He was… Continue reading The COVID-Era Smearing – and Resurrection – of Trump NIH Appointee Dr. Jay Bhattacharya
The Record Shows Tulsi Gabbard Was Not an Apologist for Russia-Backed Syria
Tulsi Gabbard’s nomination to serve as President Trump’s director of national intelligence hinges on questions about the judgment and patriotism of the former congresswoman and Army veteran, doubts that are expected to take center stage at her Senate confirmation hearing Thursday. Echoing a charge first lodged by Hillary Clinton, Sens. Tammy Duckworth and Elizabeth Warren… Continue reading The Record Shows Tulsi Gabbard Was Not an Apologist for Russia-Backed Syria
FBI Is Still Hiding Details of Russiagate, Newly Released Document Shows
As Donald Trump re-enters the White House on a pledge to end national security state overreach, the Federal Bureau of Investigation is still hiding critical details on the Russia conspiracy investigation that engulfed his first term. In response to a Freedom of Information request filed by RealClearInvestigations in August 2022, the FBI on Dec. 31,… Continue reading FBI Is Still Hiding Details of Russiagate, Newly Released Document Shows
A Second Trump Term and the States
The presidential election is in its final stretch and the race is neck-and-neck, according to the polls. The outcome will have a profound impact at all levels of government and business, so preparing for a second Trump term would be prudent. In office and on the campaign trail, former President Trump has championed federalism and… Continue reading A Second Trump Term and the States
How America’s Democratic Foundation Promotes Innovation and U.S. Security
The United States is in a global competition with other nations for leadership in critical and emerging technologies. To succeed, we must protect the national treasures that will ensure America leads the world in such fields as semiconductors, artificial intelligence, advanced communications and biotechnology. In this race to the top of innovation dominance, the United… Continue reading How America’s Democratic Foundation Promotes Innovation and U.S. Security